Wilde Truth

The Sins of the Pilot Are Visited Upon the Follow-up

I forgot the true outcome of interest; and more lessons from the literature on teaching Bayesian reasoning

Dec 7 • Vera Wilde

1

Rarity Roulette Pilot Study

I made an app to help people correct for base rate bias. Does it?

Dec 5 • Vera Wilde

2

November 2025

FemTech Fails

Three technologies that mistake surveillance for care

Nov 25 • Vera Wilde

Rarity Roulette

An app for visualizing the outcomes of mass screenings for low-prevalence problems

Nov 18 • Vera Wilde

August 2025

Bear Is Back (Again)

Celebrating a reunion and focusing on what matters in science as in life

Aug 11 • Vera Wilde

Coming To

Pauses make better worlds possible

Aug 5 • Vera Wilde

2

July 2025

Birth Control, Lies, and Daddy Issues

A new memoir hawks as shady a story as the spin science it acknowledges

Jul 10 • Vera Wilde

2

Bad Proxies Are Bad

Friends don't let friends measure what's easy instead of what matters -- but what matters is open to interpretation.

Jul 2 • Vera Wilde

June 2025

You Say Tomato, I Say Bayesian Search

A plural, contested concept. A few different ways to model iterated screening. A conceptual question about signal detection problems.

Jun 26 • Vera Wilde

The Bear, the Biases, and the Bodies

Yet another post on epistemic humility

Jun 23 • Vera Wilde

2

We Didn't Start the Bias (The Politics of Evaluating Mass Screenings)

Generalists, guilds, and the danger of doing good science

Jun 18 • Vera Wilde

1

2

Notes from the Cutting Room Floor

Two discarded Covid vaccination essays, one last shot

Jun 13 • Vera Wilde

1